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How many votes will be cast in Tuesday's election?

If history is a guide, there may be half a million more ballots on the way
As of Monday morning, a little more than half of Nevada's active registered voters had cast a ballot in the 2024 general election.
Posted 2:03 AM, Nov 05, 2024

LAS VEGAS (KTNV) — As of Monday morning, a little more than half of Nevada's active registered voters had cast a ballot in the 2024 general election.

But if history is any guide, we're not done yet.

In fact, we have hundreds of thousands of votes yet to count before it's all over.

An analysis of turnout numbers in presidential years stretching back to 2020 shows the average turnout over that period is 77 percent.

That ranges from a low of 70.15 percent in 2000, when Republican George W. Bush faced off with Democrat Al Gore, to a high of 80.77 percent in 2012, when Democrat Barack Obama defeated Republican Mitt Romney.

As of Monday morning, 52.7 percent of voters had cast ballots, either early or by mail. That translates to 1,072,640 actual votes. (There are currently more than 2 million active registered voters in the state.)

That means, if Nevada hits the average turnout of 77 percent, we should expect 1.56 million ballots to be cast in this election, or an additional 496,000 votes.

But if Nevada matches the record of 80.77 percent, we're looking at a total of 1.64 million votes overall, or another 571,000 ballots.

Mail ballots are being delivered to the county's election office daily. (Since every active registered voter has received a ballot in the mail in the 2020 election, mail has proven to be the most popular method of voting in Nevada.)

WATCH | Addressing some of the most common local voting questions and concerns

Addressing some of the most common local voting questions and concerns

It's also unclear exactly how many people will turn out to the polls on Election Day Tuesday when polls will be open from 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Since the advent of early voting, Election Day voting has diminished in popularity and is now the least popular way for Nevadans to cast a ballot.

Each voting center will also have a ballot drop box for mail ballots.

Although Republicans currently lead by more than 43,000 votes, it's not impossible for Democrats to catch up and, depending on how many nonpartisans vote for Democratic candidates, to win statewide elections. But the GOP lead is unprecedented in recent memory and portends a close election in the race for president in Nevada.

The Silver State has a fairly good record in picking the winner of presidential contests, with the exception of 1976, when Nevada voted for Republican Gerald Ford and Democrat Jimmy Carter was elected, and 2016, when Democrat Hillary Clinton won Nevada but Republican Donald Trump won a majority in the Electoral College.

If you have a question about politics or elections, submit it to Ask Steve via the link on our website. He will endeavor to answer your question online or on air.

Copyright 2025 Scripps Media, Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.

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Election Results

Results are constantly updated Refresh

Legend

(I) Incumbent
✔ Winner
D Democrat
R Republican
L Libertarian
G Green
Sat Apr 5 - 10:10pm
U.S. PRESIDENT
0% reporting
RDonald J. Trump 50%77,301,273
DKamala Harris 49%75,023,426
LChase Oliver 0%0
IJoel Skousen 0%0
U.S. PRESIDENT - NEVADA
99% reporting
✔RDonald J. Trump 51%751,205
DKamala Harris 47%705,197
LChase Oliver 0%6,059
IJoel Skousen 0%2,754
U.S. PRESIDENT - CLARK COUNTY
99% reporting
DKamala Harris 50%520,187
✔RDonald J. Trump 48%493,052
LChase Oliver 0%3,728
IJoel Skousen 0%1,599
U.S. SENATE
99% reporting
✔DJacky Rosen (I)48%701,105
RSam Brown 46%677,046
IJanine Hansen 1%21,316
LChris Cunningham 1%20,881
U.S. SENATE - CLARK COUNTY
99% reporting
✔DJacky Rosen 51%514,662
RSam Brown 43%441,057
IJanine Hansen 1%13,837
LChris Cunningham 1%13,654
U.S. HOUSE DIST. 1
99% reporting
✔DDina Titus 52%167,885
RMark Robertson 44%143,650
NRon Quince 1%3,321
IBill Hoge 1%2,736
LDavid Havlicek 1%2,711
NDavid Goossen 1%2,596
U.S. HOUSE DIST. 3
99% reporting
✔DSusie Lee 51%191,304
RDrew Johnson 49%181,084
U.S. HOUSE DIST. 4
99% reporting
✔DSteven Horsford 53%174,926
RJohn Lee 45%148,061
IRussell Best 1%4,919
LTimothy Ferreira 1%4,300
STATE SENATE DIST. 1
93% reporting
✔DMichelee Crawford 59%40,066
RPatricia Brinkley 41%27,880
STATE SENATE DIST. 3
93% reporting
✔DRochelle Nguyen 55%28,254
RBrent Howard 41%21,215
NKeya Jones 4%2,078
STATE SENATE DIST. 5
93% reporting
✔RCarrie Buck 53%42,275
DJennifer Atlas 47%36,802
STATE SENATE DIST. 6
93% reporting
✔DNicole Cannizzaro 52%37,171
RJill Douglass 46%32,730
IBrad Barnhill 3%2,017
STATE SENATE DIST. 7
93% reporting
✔DRoberta Lange 58%29,581
RLeo Henderson 42%21,093
STATE SENATE DIST. 11
94% reporting
✔RLori Rogich 51%37,668
DDallas Harris 49%36,615
STATE SENATE DIST. 18
93% reporting
✔RJohn Steinbeck 57%46,354
DRonald Bilodeau 43%35,092
STATE ASSEMBLY DIST. 1
94% reporting
✔DDaniele Monroe-Moreno 56%21,103
RGarland Brinkley 44%16,460
STATE ASSEMBLY DIST. 2
94% reporting
✔RHeidi Kasama 56%22,200
DRon Nelsen 44%17,538
STATE ASSEMBLY DIST. 3
93% reporting
✔DSelena Torres 56%15,098
RMichele Rizza 44%11,846
STATE ASSEMBLY DIST. 4
94% reporting
✔RLisa Cole 54%21,408
DRyan Hampton 46%17,958
STATE ASSEMBLY DIST. 5
94% reporting
✔DBrittney Miller 51%16,503
RKelly Quinn 47%15,240
LRonald Morgan 2%712
STATE ASSEMBLY DIST. 6
94% reporting
✔DJovan Jackson 70%12,422
RNephi Oliva 19%3,452
NWalter Jones III 11%1,894
STATE ASSEMBLY DIST. 8
93% reporting
✔DDuy Nguyen 54%18,787
RKelly Chapman 46%16,275
STATE ASSEMBLY DIST. 9
94% reporting
✔DSteve Yeager 51%17,801
RErica Neely 49%17,026
STATE ASSEMBLY DIST. 10
93% reporting
✔DVenise Karris 65%14,464
LSean Moore 35%7,940
STATE ASSEMBLY DIST. 11
87% reporting
✔DCinthia Moore 69%10,115
RJeffrey Lustick 31%4,472
STATE ASSEMBLY DIST. 12
93% reporting
✔Max Carter, II 50%15,758
Nancy Roecker 50%15,481
STATE ASSEMBLY DIST. 13
93% reporting
✔Brian Hibbetts 55%23,265
Daniel Andrews 45%18,657
STATE ASSEMBLY DIST. 15
95% reporting
✔Howard Watts 58%10,930
Melissa Spence 39%7,226
Jordy Prado 3%590
STATE ASSEMBLY DIST. 16
95% reporting
✔Cecelia González 52%13,621
James Neville 45%11,657
Jose Pena 3%807
STATE ASSEMBLY DIST. 17
94% reporting
✔Linda Hunt 65%19,585
Robert Olson 35%10,686
STATE ASSEMBLY DIST. 18
94% reporting
✔Venicia Considine 59%15,794
Antario Brown 41%10,755
STATE ASSEMBLY DIST. 20
93% reporting
✔David Orentlicher 59%14,232
Stan Vaughan 41%9,955
STATE ASSEMBLY DIST. 21
94% reporting
✔Elaine Marzola 51%18,473
April Arndt 49%17,938
STATE ASSEMBLY DIST. 29
93% reporting
✔Joe Dalia 52%17,766
Annette Owens 48%16,298
STATE ASSEMBLY DIST. 34
93% reporting
✔Hanadi Nadeem 53%16,452
Brandon Davis 47%14,441
STATE ASSEMBLY DIST. 35
94% reporting
✔Rebecca Edgeworth 54%21,140
Sharifa Wahab 46%17,774
STATE ASSEMBLY DIST. 36
99% reporting
✔Gregory Hafen 64%29,196
Marlene Drake 36%16,689
STATE ASSEMBLY DIST. 37
93% reporting
✔Shea Backus 51%20,907
David Brog 49%19,843
STATE ASSEMBLY DIST. 41
96% reporting
✔Sandra Jauregui 50%18,094
Rafael Arroyo 50%17,837
STATE ASSEMBLY DIST. 42
93% reporting
✔Tracy Brown-May 55%16,222
Kevin Child 45%13,036
LAS VEGAS MAYOR
100% reporting
✔Shelley Berkley 53%133,520
Victoria Seaman 47%117,390
CLARK CO. COMMISSION DIST. A
100% reporting
✔Michael Naft 51%74,726
Ryan Hamilton 49%71,661
CLARK CO. COMMISSION DIST. B
100% reporting
✔Marilyn Kirkpatrick 64%89,088
Jesse Welsh 36%50,944
CLARK CO. COMMISSION DIST. C
100% reporting
✔April Becker 53%87,766
Shannon Bilbray-Axelrod 47%79,147
CLARK CO. COMMISSION DIST. D
100% reporting
✔William McCurdy, II 67%64,117
David Gomez 33%31,843
DISTRICT COURT JUDGE DEPT. 14
100% reporting
✔Tina Talim 65%514,225
Alan Lefebvre 35%282,622
DISTRICT COURT JUDGE DEPT. 27
100% reporting
✔Erika Mendoza 48%378,107
Terry Coffing 27%212,986
Alexandra McLeod 26%202,736
DISTRICT COURT JUDGE FAMILY DIVISION DEPT. N
100% reporting
✔Kerri Maxey 54%417,597
Paul Gaudet 46%359,884
REGENT STATE UNIVERSITY DIST. 1
100% reporting
✔Carlos Fernandez 58%50,112
Matthew Bowen 42%36,526
REGENT STATE UNIVERSITY DIST. 4
100% reporting
✔Aaron Bautista 58%32,911
Tonia Holmes-Sutton 42%23,830
REGENT STATE UNIVERSITY DIST. 12
100% reporting
✔Amy Carvalho 60%56,049
Jonathan Maxham 40%38,042
STATE BOARD OF ED. DIST. 1
27% reporting
✔Tricia Braxton 60%151,208
Tim Underwood 40%101,819
STATE BOARD OF ED. DIST. 3
30% reporting
✔Danielle Ford 52%145,973
Rene Cantu 48%137,031
CCSD TRUSTEE DIST. A
100% reporting
✔Emily Stevens 58%82,451
Karl Catarata 42%59,322
CCSD TRUSTEE DIST. B
100% reporting
✔Lydia Dominguez 56%77,820
Eileen Eady 44%60,603
CCSD TRUSTEE DIST. C
100% reporting
✔Tameka Henry 52%51,377
Evelyn Morales 48%47,459
CCSD TRUSTEE DIST. E
100% reporting
✔Lorena Biassotti 58%72,006
Kamilah Bywaters 42%51,954
MOAPA VALLEY WATER DISTRICT BOARD - LOGANDALE
100% reporting
✔Robert Terril 62%1,126
Marcus Jensen 38%676
MOAPA VALLEY WATER DISTRICT BOARD - OVERTON
100% reporting
✔Scott Farnsworth 70%1,069
Janice Ridondo 30%458
OVERTON POWER TRUSTEE DIST. 5 SEAT 7
100% reporting
✔Randy Laub 55%8,484
Judy Metz 45%6,958
LAUGHLIN TOWN ADVISORY BOARD
100% reporting
✔Pamela Walker 14%1,667
✔Kathleen Hoss 14%1,647
✔Kathy Ochs 14%1,616
✔Bradley Beck 12%1,464
✔Frederick Doten 12%1,460
Amanda Byley 12%1,452
Hermon Walker 11%1,339
Noreen McBride 11%1,308
MOAPA VALLEY TOWN ADVISORY BOARD
133% reporting
✔Lori Houston 24%2,759
✔Jill Williams 18%2,010
✔Lois Hall 16%1,769
✔Kristen Pearson 14%1,636
✔Stephanie Blair 14%1,607
Janice Ridondo 14%1,594
BOULDER CITY CITY COUNCIL MEMBER AT LARGE
100% reporting
✔Denise Ashurst 59%5,386
Mathew Fox 41%3,717
HENDERSON CITY COUNCIL WARD 2
100% reporting
✔Monica Larson 56%23,866
Dan Shaw 44%18,386
CITY OF LAS VEGAS COUNCILMAN WARD 5
100% reporting
✔Shondra Summers-Armstrong 53%15,078
Cameron Miller 47%13,118
MESQUITE MAYOR
100% reporting
✔Elwin Whipple 53%6,781
Allan Litman 47%5,897
MESQUITE COUNCILMEMBER SEAT 2
100% reporting
✔Kevin Parrish 52%5,846
Ronald Shackelford 48%5,496
MESQUITE COUNCILMEMBER SEAT 5
100% reporting
✔Wes Boger 67%7,941
Jeffrey Hoyt 33%3,827
JUSTICE OF THE PEACE BUNKERVILLE TWP.
100% reporting
✔Darryll Dodenbier 74%409
Jace Haviland 26%140
JUSTICE OF THE PEACE HENDERSON TWP. DEPT. 1
100% reporting
✔Sandra DiGiacomo 57%81,870
Marla Renteria 43%62,561
JUSTICE OF THE PEACE LAS VEGAS TWP. DEPT. 2
100% reporting
✔Kristal Bradford 53%275,695
Joseph Sciscento 47%241,312
JUSTICE OF THE PEACE LAS VEGAS TWP. DEPT. 4
100% reporting
✔Suzan Baucum 27%141,859
James Leavitt 24%126,909
Jessica Smith-Peterson 22%117,081
Hilary Heap 13%69,629
Holly Stoberski 13%68,264
JUSTICE OF THE PEACE LAS VEGAS TWP. DEPT. 5
100% reporting
✔Cynthia Dustin-Cruz 52%268,105
Madilyn Cole 48%245,930
JUSTICE OF THE PEACE LAS VEGAS TWP. DEPT. 8
100% reporting
✔Nancy Bernstein 50%257,453
Amy Ferreira 50%256,188
JUSTICE OF THE PEACE LAUGHLIN TWP.
100% reporting
✔Gino Briscoe 60%2,171
Christopher Crawford 40%1,474
JUSTICE OF THE PEACE NORTH LAS VEGAS DEPT. 2
100% reporting
✔Jonathan Cooper 74%69,751
Sean Hoeffgen 26%24,190
JUSTICE OF THE PEACE SEARCHLIGHT TWP.
100% reporting
✔Christian Jeter 56%229
Kyle Myers 44%182
STATE QUESTION 1
97% reporting
✔ No 55%741,873
Yes 45%615,415
STATE QUESTION 2
95% reporting
✔ Yes 66%876,824
No 34%449,954
STATE QUESTION 3
99% reporting
✔ No 53%747,719
Yes 47%664,011
STATE QUESTION 4
99% reporting
✔ Yes 61%835,627
No 39%543,236
STATE QUESTION 5
98% reporting
✔ Yes 68%942,828
No 32%433,583
STATE QUESTION 6
99% reporting
✔ Yes 64%905,170
No 36%501,232
STATE QUESTION 7
99% reporting
✔ Yes 73%1,031,153
No 27%376,873
BOULDER CITY BALLOT QUESTION 1 CAPITAL FUNDING FOR RECREATION PROJECT
0% reporting
✔ Yes 60%5,796
No 40%3,893
HENDERSON BALLOT QUESTION 1 LEVY FOR PUBLIC SAFETY SERVICES
0% reporting
✔ No 61%110,300
Yes 39%69,405
HENDERSON DISTRICT LIBRARY QUESTION
0% reporting
✔ Yes 70%651,729
No 30%285,350