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Models predict COVID-19 cases will surge during fall, winter

Posted at 9:23 PM, Sep 27, 2020
and last updated 2020-09-28 03:02:23-04

LAS VEGAS (KTNV) — New models predict that COVID-19 cases will significantly climb in the United States during the final months of 2020.

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A Las Vegas doctor says it could be cause for concern as COVID-19 and the flu will both be in play during the fall and winter.

“People want to go to movies, people want to go and eat and the fatigue has set in,” says Dr. Daliah Wachs. “We see the numbers go down in the summer and people don't want to stop living and want to enjoy themselves.”

Dr. Wachs says a build-up of quarantining and isolation is driving more people to be out and about, which may cause trouble soon.

“We’re going to have COVID-19 and the flu,” says Dr. Wachs. “There might be a chance that you can get infected with both.”

Models from the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation aren’t looking good.

Their prediction includes a surge in COVID-19 cases beginning in October, and climbing through the end of the year.

They also predict 3,000 daily deaths by December’s end.

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“We’re kind of mixed whether it’s going to be as dangerous, and as troubling for ICU's, versus just more people having cases,” says Dr. Wachs.

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