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Doug's "Quick Pick"
Posted:
In the spirit of Action Fan Frenzy and fantasy leagues, Action Sports Director, Doug Kezirian, wants to see how he stacks up against the city's oddsmakers. Be sure to check out his nightly "Quick Pick" on the 11pm edition of Channel 13 Action Sports and KTNV.com! * Please read our disclaimer below.
2009 Record: 167-150-1
Doug's Quick Pick
Friday, November 20
- Oklahoma/TEXAS TECH (under 53) - The Sooners have gone under the total in all but two games this season. Texas coach Mack Brown dubbed Oklahoma the nation's best defense and the Sooners need to bring it against the Red Raiders. On offense, the Sooners try to control the clock with their running game and limit backup quarterback Landry Jones' throws. Texas Tech's offense is not as potent this season and its defense is actually respectable.
- MISSOURI (-14.5) vs. Iowa State - The Tiger bounced back with an impressive performance last weekend and Gary Pinkel's group should keep things rolling this weekend. Iowa State is in a tailspin and could be in for a long afternoon.
- TEXAS (-27) vs. Kansas - The Jayhawks are in a state of turmoil right now. Former players are questioning Mark Mangino's coaching tactics and even the university's Athletic Director is investigating the situation. The Longhorns enter the game with their sights set on a national championship and should exploit a horrible Kansas secondary.
- CLEMSON (-21) vs. Virginia - The Cavaliers showed some life midseason with a three-game winning streak but they have restored order as one of the ACC's worst teams. Clemson has superior athletes and should run all over Virginia.
- BUCS (+11.5) vs. Saints - New Orleans' defense is not good enough to lay this many points on the road. Since switching to quarterback Josh Freeman, Tampa Bay's offense has looked respectable. The Saints are undefeated but they certainly appear to be running out of steam.
Thursday, November 19
- Kings/MAVERICKS (over 200.5) - Both teams are missing players with injuries but their offensive systems are the real keys to success. Sacramento struggled in its last game but the Kings push the ball. Both prefer a faster tempo and lack defensive toughness.
Tuesday, November 17
- GRIZZLIES (-4) vs. Clippers - Win - The Grizzlies are 2-2 at home and catch the Clippers in a tough spot. Memphis has had three full days of rest, while L.A. is playing road games on consecutive nights. Eric Gordon is out with an injury and the Clips are 1-7 without him, dating back to last year. On paper, the Clippers have talent but coach Mike Dunleavy is clueless and has lost control of the team. Expect the desperate Grizzlies to gut out a solid win over a heartless and dysfunctional Clippers team.
Monday, November 16
- Pacers (-3.5) vs. NETS - Win - New Jersey is winless at 0-10 and shows no signs of any improvement. Indiana enters this contest on three full days of rest and has way too much firepower for a low-scoring Nets team.
- Warriors/CAVALIERS (over 109, first half) - Win - Both teams enter this game a little short-handed. Cleveland will play without an injured Shaquille O'Neal but that means the Cavaliers will have more fast breaks. Golden State plays no defense so expect a track meet.
Friday, November 13
- HAWKS (-8) vs. Hornets - Win - New Orleans sustained a huge blow with an injury to star point guard Chris Paul. Both teams played the previous night, so expect the Hornets to struggle to score points.
- MISSISSIPPI (-5) vs. Tennessee - Win - The Rebels play much better at home and Tennessee is not as good as its record indicates. Plus, it's a good spot to play against the Volunteers, which had three players arrested on Thursday for their involvement in an armed robbery.
- ILLINOIS (-4.5) vs. Northwestern - Loss - Illini head coach Ron Zook is not a great coach but he is a superb recruiter. The Illini have far superior talent and Northwestern is ripe for a letdown after upsetting undefeated Iowa.
- Michigan State (-2.5) vs. PURDUE - Win - Two weeks ago, Wisconsin ran all over Purdue and the Spartans should adopt a similar game plan. Michigan State also has a great special teams unit and Purdue is susceptible to the big play.
- Stanford (+10.5) vs. USC - Win - After losing great talent to the NFL draft, the Trojans have been exposed as a mediocre team. The point spreads are inflated because of their storied history. However, Stanford is a better football team, having just defeated Oregon.
- TCU (-19.5) vs. Utah - Win - This is the final chance for TCU to win over voters and prove it belongs in the national title discussion. Utah is well-coached and maximizes its potential, but TCU is a far superior team.
- OREGON (-20) vs. Arizona State - Win - Oregon is coming off a loss but still has a high-powered offense. The Ducks also are capable of lighting the scoreboard at home. Arizona State has not beaten a team this season with a winning record.
- PANTHERS (-1.5) vs. Falcons - Win - Atlanta's biggest weakness is Carolina's strength. The Panthers will try to run the ball all day and expose and small defensive front for Atlanta.
- Falcons/PANTHERS (over 43.5) - Win - The Falcons have several offensive weapons and quarterback Matt Ryan plays more experience than he actually is.
Thursday, November 12
- Mavericks (-10.5) vs. TIMBERWOLVES - Win - Minnesota is one of the league's worst team and will play without its best player. Leading scorer and rebounder Al Jefferson has left the team for personal reasons. Dallas is coming off a disappointing loss and will look to get back on track. The Mavericks have far too much firepower for the Timberwolves to keep this respectable.
- Raptors (-1) vs. CLIPPERS - Win - Dating back to last season, the Clippers are 0-10 without Eric Gordon in the lineup. Los Angeles is poorly coached and just cannot seem to win close games. The Raptors have much more offensive weapons and will pull away when the Clips experience their predictable scoring drought.
Wednesday, November 11
- Bowling Green (-3) vs. MIAMI (OH) - Win - While the RedHawks have played well lately, they are still one of the worst teams in college football with just one win. Bowling Green has more than a week to prepare for this critical game. The Falcons must win at least two of their final three games to qualify for a bowl. Wide receiver Freddie Barnes is the best player on the field and will pose numerous matchup problems for a poor Miami defense.
Tuesday, November 10
- 76ers/NETS (under 188.5) - Win - New Jersey is in complete shambles right now. The winless Nets are missing star point guard Devin Harris and have trouble scoring. Chris Douglas-Roberts was providing some offense, but he is out with the swine flu. Philadelphia will push the pace a bit, but this game will slow up drastically in the second half.
- Cavaliers (+1.5) vs. MAGIC - Win - This game means more to Cleveland, which is playing on four days of rest. The Magic eliminated the Cavaliers in last year's playoffs. Orlando held a huge match-up advantage with athletic forwards Rashard Lewis and Hedo Turkoglu. Both are missing in this game.
- Mavericks (-1.5) vs. SPURS - Loss - Dallas also needs this game more than San Antonio. The Mavericks are playing well and want to make a statement. More importantly, the Spurs are playing without an injured Tim Duncan and Tony Parker.
Friday, November 6
- MICHIGAN (-6) vs. Purdue - Loss - The Boilermakers were embarassed last weekend in Winsconsin and have a weak defense. Michigan has five wins and desperately needs this game to qualify for a bowl.
- Connecticut (+17.5) vs. CINCINNATI - Win - The Bearcats are well-coached and have a powerful offense, but going undefeated brings on a great deal of pressure. Connecticut is very strong on both sides of the ball and can hang with Cincinnati.
- Oregon State (+7.5) vs. CALIFORNIA - Win - The changing of the leaves always reminds smart handicappers to fade the Bears. Without fail, Cal always experiences a late-season collapse. Oregon State's offense seems to have hit its stride.
- Cardinals/BEARS (over 44.5) - Win - The Bears have a history of strong defenses but this unit has been very weak this season, especially against the path. While Arizona typically struggles on the road, the Cardinals have performed quite well this year. Kurt Warner should pick apart the Chicago secondary.
Tuesday, November 3
- Grizzlies (+6) vs. WARRIORS - Loss - Golden State lacks team chemistry and should not lay this many points. Allen Iverson returned from injury and has given Memphis more scoring options. The Grizzlies nearly upset the Kings at Arco Arena and have enough talent to get over the hump against Golden State.
Monday, October 26
- Raptors (-4) vs. GRIZZLIES - Loss - Memphis does not have enough offense to maintain the pace Toronto prefers. All fiver Raptors starters can shoot from outside and just notched an impressive road win over Cleveland.
- Bucks/76ERS (under 191.5) - Win - Neither team has enough offensive weapons for this game to go over the total. Milwaukee is still trying to solidify its point guard situation.
Monday, October 26
- Spurs (-2) vs. BULLS - Loss - San Antonio played the previous night but the core players logged brief minutes in the blowout win. That situation also does not play a major factor because it is so early in the season. Bulls point guard Derek Rose is not at full strength, and the Spurs own a major coaching advantage with Gregg Poppovich over Vinny Del Negro.
- Phillies/YANKEES (over 8.5, -120) - Loss - Now that the aces pitched in Game 1, both lineups should feast on starters A.J. Burnett and Pedro Martinez. Philadelphia already showed it has an offense that can trade blows with the Yankees. Rain is not forecasted, so expect dry but cool weather to benefit the batters.
Monday, October 26
- Hornets (under 46.5 wins) - New Orleans came apart at the seams last season and may have created more dissention with a controversial trade during the offseason. The Hornests swapped Tyson Chandler for Emeka Okafor, which upset star point guard Chris Paul. New Orleans endures too many scoring droughts to contend for one of the league's top playoff spots.
- Suns (over 40.5 wins) - Last season, Phoenix experimented with center Shaquille O'neal but it complicated its passion for a quick tempo. By retaining Alvin Gentry, the Suns have resumed their run-and-gun policy. Point guard Steve Nash is older but he's still a top-tier player and will run the offense effectively. Amar'e Stoudemire is healthy and still a force. The Suns still play poor defense but they should win at least half their games.
- Grizzlies (over 27.5 wins) - Memphis is typically one of the worst teams but it added some much-needed scoring in the offseason with Zach Randolph and Allen Iverson. If certain things go their way and they catch a few breaks, the Grizzlies could actually contend for a playoff spot.
Friday, October 23
- Tennessee (+15) vs. ALABAMA - Win - The Crimson Tide have had trouble scoring against good defenses, and that's exactly what Tennessee has. Coordinator Monte Kiffin will have his group ready and limit Alabama's scoring opportunities. Tennessee should generate just enough offense for the cover.
- MICHIGAN (+5) vs. Penn State - Loss - The Nittany Lions lack the firepower to hand with Michigan. The Wolverines nearly beat an Iowa team that knocked off Penn State. Michigan should not be as big of an underdog in this situation.
- Washington St. (+35) vs. CALIFORNIA - Win - The Cougars are again one of the worst teams in college football but their offense is not as bad as it was last year. Injuries derailed them a season ago but they've managed to generate some points this year. Cal has explosive weapons but its defense is poor and will allow Washington State to stay within 35 points.
- Oklahoma St. (-9) vs. BAYLOR - Win - The Bears lost quarterback Robert Griffin to injury and have since been a completely different team. They will have difficulty matching the Cowboys' scoring power, even without suspended wide receiver Dez Bryant.
- SMU/HOUSTON (over 70) - Loss - The Cougars own one of the nation's most potent offenses but have also managed to give up points. SMU coach June Jones can devise a scheme that will score enough to push this over the total.
Friday, October 9
- Arizona State (-20.5) vs. WASHINGTON STATE - Loss - The Sun Devils are coming off an embarassing home loss and will look to right the ship against a poor Cougars team. Arizona State is a soft team but it always finds a way to run up the score against inferior teams to inflate their perception.
- Arizona St./WASHINGTON ST. (over 47) - Loss - The Cougars have struggled offensively against some teams but Arizona State has a vulnerable defense. The Sun Devils will light up the scoreboard but not care too much about the other side of the ball.
- Fresno State (-10) vs. HAWAII - Win - The Warriors lost their starting quarterback Greg Alexander for the season with an injury and both back-ups do not seem like they can handle the load. The Bulldogs have a 1-3 record, but those three losses came against Wisconsin, Boise State, and Cincinnati. Two of those clubs are ranked and the Badgers are undefeated.
- Georgia/TENESSEE (under 46) - Loss - The Bulldogs have certainly put up some points this seasons but Tennessee Defensive Coordinator Monte Kiffin will end that trend. He found a scheme to limit Florida and can do the same against Georgia. The Vols' offense is mediocre at best and prefers to run the ball and clock.
- Indiana (+7) vs. VIRGINIA - Loss - The Cavaliers shocked many by winning at North Carolina last week but they should never lay a touchdown. The Hoosiers have played well on the road this season, especially on the road. Indiana can win this game.
- LSU(+9) vs. Florida - Loss - Gators quarterback Tim Tebow has captured all the headlines this week as he remains a game-time decision after suffering a concussion in his last game. Even if he plays, the Tigers are capable of winning this game. Coach Les Miles will rally his team and crowd for this night game against the nation's top-ranked team.
- Florida/LSU (under 45.5) - Win - With a rusty Tebow or replacement quarterback, Florida's offense will be limited. Plus, Miles will try to control the clock and limit the Gators' possessions.
- Raiders/GIANTS (under 37.5) - Loss - With Darren McFadden injured, Oakland will have trouble crossing midfield, let alone scoring touchdowns. New York quarterback Eli Manning is nursing a heel injury and may not play. Either way, the Giants will turn to the running game and milk the clock. New York wants to escape with an easy victory and without any more injuries.
- Falcons (+2.5) vs. 49ERS - Win - Atlanta is coming off a loss and bye week. San Francisco is playing extremely well this season but is without injured running back Frank Gore. Quarterback Shawn Hill is susceptible to pressure, and that is exactly what Atlanta brings. The Falcons need this game desperately.
- Jets (-1.5) vs. DOLPHINS - Loss - If Miami's Wildcat offense has a kryptonite, it is New York coach Rex Ryan. As Baltimore's Defensive Coordinator last year, he devised a scheme that shut it down completely. The Jets have similar speed and will wreak havoc on back-up quarterback Chad Henne.
Friday, September 18
- Minnesota (+1) vs. NORTHWESTERN - Win - Several Northwestern players are battling the flu. Even at full strength, Minnesota is the better team. The Gophers already has shown moments of ineptitude this season but overall they have better players and should win this game.
- TEXANS (-3.5) vs. Jaguars - Loss - Jacksonville is 0-2 this season and looks like a dysfunctional club. Houston lost its opener but the Jets have proved to be a legitimate contender. The Texans are the better team and playing at home.
- CARDINALS (-2.5) vs. Colts - Loss - This is a horrible scheduling spot for Indianapolis. The Colts play back-to-back road games and also on a short week. Safety Bob Sanders is still out with an injury. Arizona found its offensive rhythm last week.
- RAVENS (-13.5) vs. Browns - Win - Cleveland is possibly the league's worst team. The Browns will have trouble crossing the 50-yard line against a tough Ravens defense. Baltimore's offense has more weapons this season and can cover the spread.
- Saints/BILLS (over 52.5) - Loss - Neither defense has shown an ability to stop opposing offenses. The Saints have the league's best attack and are averaging more than 40 points per game. The New Orleans defense is certainly vulnerable.
Friday, September 18
- FLORIDA (-29.5) vs. Tennessee - Loss - The trash talk reached a peak level this past offseason. Tennessee coach Lane Kiffin attacked Urban Meyer's recruiting tactics. The Gators want payback and Meyer has been known to cover the spread intentionally.
- COLORADO (-7) vs. Wyoming - Win - With an 0-2 start, Colorado's season is on the line. The Cowboys are completely overmatched and the Buffalos should run all over Wyoming.
- smu (-6.5) vs. WASHINGTON STATE - Loss - The Cougars are one of the worst teams in college football. Hawaii highlighted their ineptitude last weekend, forcing seven turnovers.
- TOLEDO(+22) vs. Ohio State - Loss - The Buckeyes suffered a devastating loss last week to USC. They have barely focused on their next opponent, instead continuing to discuss the Trojans. Toledo has enough to keep this relatively close and catch Ohio State in a letdown spot.
Friday, September 11
- PENN STATE (-28.5) vs. Syracuse - Loss - The Nittany Lions completely dominated their first opponent and could have scored more against Akron. Syracuse played decently against Minnesota but the Gophers were completely inept once they led 14-3. After four years away from the game, Greg Paulus understandably showed rust and Penn State's stout defense will expose that inexperience.
- Western Michigan (+1.5) vs. INDIANA - Loss - The Hoosiers barely beat I-AA Eastern Kentucky last week and showed futility in many areas. The Broncos return just 10 starters from last year and were blasted by Michigan last week. But Indiana is very poor.
- Tulsa (-17.5) vs. NEW MEXICO - Win - The Golden Hurricane displayed their signature scoring last week against Tulane and the Lobos are completely overmatched. New Mexico lacks the firepower to hang with such a potent offense.
- PARIOTS (-10.5) vs. Bills - Loss - New England quarterback Tom Brady returns from injury and the offense should score as easily as it did during the underfeated 2007 campaign. Meanwhile, the Bills' offense is in shambles. They fired their offensive coordinator within the last week, running back Marshawn Lynch is suspended, and the offensive line has numerous question marks. The Patriots have won 11 straight over Buffalo and covered nine of those meetings. This has all the makings of a blowout with Bill Belichick looking to send a league-wide message.
- Chargers (-9.5) vs. RAIDERS - Loss - Between Tom Cable's assault allegations and nonstop disarray, Oakland has continued their disastrous ways. San Diego has started off slowly the past few seasons and is very determined to storm out of the gates. The Chargers are a Super Bowl contender, while Oakland is headed for another top draft pick.
Wednesday, September 9
- Titans (+6.5) vs. STEELERS - Win - Pittsburgh is the defending Super Bowl champion but Tenneessee outplayed the Steelers in both meetings last year. This figures to be a low-scoring game with points at a premium.
Friday, September 4
- BYU/Oklahoma (under 68) - Win - With tight end Jermaine Ghreshman out with an injury, Oklahoma quarterback Sam Bradford misses his favorite target, especially in the red zone. The Sooners were criticized last season for surrendering a lot of points. But that only occurred when linebacker Ryan Reynolds was out with injury. When healthy, they shut down Texas Tech and contained Florida.
- CALIFORNIA (-21) vs. Maryland - Win - The Terrapins stunned the Bears last year on the east coast with an early start time. Cal had been eaglerly anticipating this rematch and will light up the scoreboard early and often. Coach Jeff Tedford has several weapons while Maryland is still rebuilding.
- Texas A&M (-15) vs. New Mexico - Win - The Lobos have a new coach and only return nine starters. The Aggies hail from the Big 12 and easily have more talent.
- Stanford (-16.5) vs. Washington St. - Win - The Cougars were quite possibly the worst team in college football last year. They showed ineptitude in nearly every facet. The Cardinal are on the rise and will not waste this opportunity.
- Illinois (-6.5) vs. Missouri - Loss - The Tigers lost several key players to the next level and must break in a new quarterback. The Illini return quarterback Juice Williams and have much more experience on both sides of the ball.
Friday, July 3
- Venus Williams (-140) vs. Serena Williams - Loss - Venus is playing dominant tennis right now, allowing top-seeded Dinara Safina to win just one game in the semifinals. Although Venus is 2-5 lifetime against her sister in Grand Slam finals, Wimbledon is her preferred turf. She has won 20 straight matches at the All England Club. That includes two straight Rosewater Dishes, with last year's coming against Serena.
Wednesday, July 1
- Tiger Woods (+200) - Win - The world's top-ranked golfer has a relatively solid payout, considering the field. He faced nearly identical odds at the U.S. Open, which featured the best players. At this weekend's AT&T International, he truly only faces a handful of golfers that can beat him. He is playing very well but only lost at Bethpage because his putter let him down; that rarely happens in consecutive tournaments.
Monday, June 29
- OHIO STATE (+4.5) vs. Southern California - Win - Everything has been said about the Big Ten and its lack of speed. USC has dominated college football the past few years and beat the Buckeyes decisively last year. However, OSU holds the x-factor: quarterback Terrell Pryor. He surprised many in last year's Fiesta Bowl after five extra weeks of practice. Now, after a complete offseason, he becomes a legitimate Heisman Trophy candidate with an accelerated learning curve. The Trojans have had trouble in the past with mobile quarterbacks: Vince Young, Dennis Dixon, etc. USC loses several key members of its defense and will break in a new quarterback. The Trojans should not be favored on the road.
- OKLAHOMA STATE (-3) vs. Georgia - Win - The Big 12 outclassed the SEC in last year's bowl games. Oklahoma State opened the 2008 season 7-0, before falling at top-ranked Texas by four points. The Cowboys return their main offensive weapons: quarterback Zac Robinson and wide receiver Dez Bryant. The Pokes won't sneak up on anyone this season but also will be ready for Georgia in the opener. The Bulldogs lost quarterback Matt Stafford and running back Knowshown Moreno, who were both drafted in the first round.
- Oklahoma (-9.5) vs. NEBRASKA - Loss - OU quarterback Sam Bradford returned for his senior season to pursue a national championship. While there is no guarantee of a title, you can almost bank on that powerful offense. The Sooners destroyed the Huskers by 34 points last season and will seem like a well-oiled machine when they meet in Lincoln. Nebraska is improving under coach Bo Pelini but Oklahoma is on a completely different level.
Saturday, June 27
- USA/BRAZIL (over 2.5) - Win - The Americans have surpassed expectations this tournament by reaching the Confederations Final. Their offense picks the right spot to attack and manages to score enough. Brazil possesses so much skill and will be able to find holes in the USA's defense.
Sunday, June 21
- LSU (-125, Series) vs. TEXAS - Win - The Longhorns enter with the higher ranking but no team is playing better than LSU. The Tigers are crushing opponents while Texas has snuck by with some narrow victories. The Longhorns prefer to play "small ball" but giving away outs is no way to outscore LSU's potent offense.
Saturday, June 13
- MAGIC (-3) vs. Lakers - Loss - Since Derek Fisher's clutch performance, the Lakers have acted like they already won the series. During offday press conferences, Kobe Bryant and Fisher are comparing this championship to those at the beginning of the century. Orlando is just as talented and will try hard to prevent L.A. from celebrating on its home court. The Magic certainly sustained a devastating loss but has had two full days to digest it.
- Lakers/MAGIC (under 198.5) - Win - Only one game has surpassed the posted total in the series, and both overtime games still went under. These teams should hover around the 190 mark.
Wednesday, June 10
- Penguins/RED WINGS (under 5.5) - Win - A Game 7 typically brings out conservative and tight play. Although Fleury has had trouble in Detroit, both goalies are playing well. One team should not be able to score four goals. The Red Wings have gone under the total in their last five home games.
- Tigers (-130) vs. PIRATES - Win - Detroit has a far superior lineup and is 43-14 in interleague play, compared to Pittsburgh's 14-33 record. Pirates starter Ian Snell is 1-6 with a 5.54 ERA.
Wednesday, June 10
- Lakers/MAGIC (under 201) - Win - The Magic set a record in Game 3 with 62.5% field goal shooting and it only went over the total by 14 points. Phil Jackson expressed his disappointment and the team should respond with stronger defense. Games 1 and 2 fell far below the posted total which was more of an accurate gauge. This is the teams' third game in five days, so expect fatigue to inhibit the offense.
Monday, June 8
- Red Wings/PENGUINS (over 5.5) - Loss - Detroit has gone over the total in seven of its last eight road playoff games when it is the underdog. In Games 3 and 4 of this series, they combined for six goals both times.
- MAGIC (-4) vs. Lakers - Push - This is a classic spot for Orlando and the Magic cannot afford to fall in a 3-0 series hole. Throughout the playoffs, the Lakers have suffered letdowns when they are not forced to win a game.
Tuesday, June 2
- Dwight Howard (over 5.5 Made Free Throws, -130) - Win - Howard's free throw woes are well documented but he seems to have turned the corner. He is shooting 72% in his last four playoff games. He all has made at least seven in each of those games, as Orlando has finally started to realize his ability to dominate around the basket.
- Hedo Turkoglu (over 14.5 Points, -120) - Loss - Turkoglu shoots much better on the road and will pull Pau Gasol away from the basket. Because Turkoglu is quicker, Gasol will have to respect his speed and concede more open looks from the outside.
- Lamar Odom (over 22.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists) - Win - Both teams pose significant match-up problems at the forward position. Odom has the ability to handle the ball and control the paint. He will be able to post up Rashard Lewis and Hedo Turkoglu quite easily.
Friday, May 29
- MAGIC (-1.5) vs. Cavaliers - Win - Orlando spreads the floor extremely well and has shooters at nearly every position. The Cavaliers have an especially difficult time match up with Hedo Turkoglu and Rashard Lewis. Lebron James is shouldering too much of the scoring burden and needs more help.
- Magic/CAVALIERS (over 191) - Win - The scoring has picked up considerably the past two games. Cleveland's defense looks tired and that has provided more open looks for Orlando's shooters.
- RED WINGS (-145, SERIES) VS. Penguins - Loss - Detroit is hockey best team and has home-ice advantage. The Red Wings have lost just once in nine home playoff games. Pittsburgh is the chic underdog pick but Detroit should repeat as champions.
Wednesday, May 27
- Magic (+7.5) vs. CAVALIERS - Loss - Orlando has outplayed the Cavaliers this series and could have already swept them. The Magic occasionally plays better on the road; Hedo Turkoglu shoots much better away from home. Cleveland's offense is too anemic to lay this many points. Orlando's big men are more athletic and versatile than Cleveland's front line.
- Magic/CAVALIERS (over 191) - Win - Three of the series' four games have surpassed the posted total with only one falling under by a point. As shown in the first two games, Orlando can shoot well on the road. Cleveland will likely benefit from the referees to assist its occasionally anemic offense.
- Hunter Mahan (-115) vs. Stuart Cink - Loss - Cink has struggled mightily this season. He has history of playing well at the Colonial but just does not have this year and seems more consumed with Twitter updates. Plus, he recently complained about the latest changes to this course. Mahan is just playing a lot better right now.
Tuesday, May 26
- RED WINGS (-1.5, +115) vs. Blackhawks - Loss - With a win, Detroit can advance to the Stanley Cup and defend its title. The Blackhawks face a devastating 3-1 series hole and will have trouble on the road. The Red Wings have won four straight home games.
Monday, May 25
- Cavaliers/MAGIC (over 188) - Win - Cleveland finds itself in a hole and needs a road win. That typically starts with defense for the Cavaliers, but Orlando poses too many match-up problems and can knock down any jumper. Lebron James can score virtually at will. Look for both offenses to get to the free throw line often.
Sunday, May 24
- NUGGETS (-4) vs. Lakers - Win - Trailing 2-1 in the series, Denver must win to save its season. The Nuggets shot very poorly in Game 3 and still held an eight-point lead in the fourth quarter. The Lakers traveled to Denver hoping for a split and it already got a win. Plus, Kobe Bryant is very dehydrated and received an IV on Sunday.
Friday, May 22
- NUGGETS (-3.5) vs. Lakers - Loss - Denver has won every home game since March 9, establishing itself as a legitimate NBA championship contender. The high altitude typically inhibits a road team in the first game, before it can adjust. The Lakers are one of the league's premier teams. Backed by superstar Kobe Bryant, they rarely lose back-to-back games. However, Los Angeles lacked toughness in its road games in the previous series.
- Lakers/NUGGETS (over 211.5) - Loss - It's no secret Denver's offense, especially its bench, shoots significantly better at home. The first two games of this series have landed just under the total. Expect the Nuggets' home-court comfort tp prove to be the difference. Plus, with a noisy crowd, the Lakers' defensive communication will be non-existent.
Thursday, May 21
- Magic/CAVALIERS (over 188) - Win - In Game One, both teams scorched the opposing defenses and there is no real reason to think that will change in Game Two. Orlando lacks an answer for Lebron James, who scored 49 points. The Magic's big men have great range and the Cavaliers cannot defend them near the three-point line.
Tuesday, May 19
- Magic/CAVALIERS (under 185) - Loss - The Cavaliers have an extremely long layoff and offenses typically struggle in those situations. Orlando just played a Game 7 on the road on Sunday and now must play another emotional road game. Cleveland will control this game with its signature defense.
Monday, May 18
- Nuggets (+7) vs. LAKERS - Win - Denver truly believes it can beat the Lakers and enters this game playing much better than L.A. The Nuggets have improved defensively and still have offensive firepower. Teams usually suffer a letdown after a Game 7 victory so the Lakers' lackadasical play could return.
Thursday, May 14
- Reds (-130) vs. PADRES - Loss - San Diego has likely the worst lineup in baseball. The Padres completed a long road trip, traveling from Chicago. The Reds are already adjusted to the time zone, having just played in Arizona.
Wednesday, May 13
- Lakers/ROCKETS (under 197.5) - Win - Houston will play better on its home court but just does not have the offensive weapons, given the injuries to Yao Ming and Tracy McGrady. The Lakers were embarassed their last trip to Houston and will focus on defense in this contest. Teams also tend to play tense in a closeout game.
- Mets (-130) vs. GIANTS - Win - John Maine looks for his fourth straight win and has a lifetime 3.78 ERA against San Francisco. The Mets have the far superior lineup as the Giants struggle to score runs.
- Cardinals (-120) vs. PIRATES - Win - St. Louis has lost the first two games of this series and will do everything in its power to avoid the sweep. Before winning two straight, the Pirates had lost eight straight and are the weaker team.
Tuesday, May 12
- Mavericks/NUGGETS (over 212.5) - Win - Denver returns to its home court where it is much more comfortable. The offense will run on all cylinders. If the Nuggets are tight in this close-out game, look for veteran Chauncey Billups to lead the way early. Dallas benefited from several calls on its home court in Game 4 but Denver will not be limited in this one.
Monday, May 11
- Rockets/LAKERS (over 197.5) - Loss - Without Yao Ming, the Rockets lack a defensive presence in the paint. The Lakers' big men will look to exploit their mismatches. In Game 4, Houston relied on quickness and will look to push the tempo. Both teams should surpass the 100-point mark.
- LAKERS (-12) vs. Rockets - Win - The Lakers were completely embarassed in Game 4 and will enter this game much more focused. The offense could not click and will respond with a much better effort. Not only does L.A. need to win this game but they need to send a message so Houston cannot build momentum for Game 6.
- Magic (+2) vs. CELTICS - Loss - Boston played with desperation in Game 4 but Orlando is the better and younger team. Fatigue should start to take its toll on the Celtics.
- Magic/CELTICS (under 193.5) - Win - Boston will dictate the pace on its home court, relying on its stingy defense. The Magic seems to be playing very tightly in the close games and cannot seem to find its outside range.
Saturday, May 9
- Lakers (-3.5) vs. ROCKETS - Loss - Houston geared up its home crowd for Game 3 and left demorialized. The Lakers matched the Rockets' toughness and dominated the second half. Unlike recent years, this Lakers team can deliver the knockout blow. Houston's Yao Ming is nursing an injured ankle and Houston knows it cannot win three of the next five games.
Friday, May 8
- MAVERICKS (-3.5) vs. Nuggets - Loss - Denver has lost just once this postseason but this is a classic spot for Dallas. When trailing 2-0 in a playoff series, home teams are 39-17-1 against the spread. The Nuggets were a force this season at home but just 22-21 on the road. Since the All-Star break, Dallas is 17-1 at home with their lone loss coming without Josh Howard and Jason Kidd.
Thursday, May 7
- Lakers/ROCKETS (UNDER 195) - Loss - In the first round, all eight Game 3's went under the total. Houston prefers a sluggish game and will be to dictate the pace on its home court.
Wednesday, May 6
- Hawks/CAVALIERS (over 180) - Win - Game 1 went under the total but Atlanta played horribly on offensive. The Hawks should rebound with more stable shooting and Cleveland should continue to excel on its home court.
Tuesday, May 5
- DODGERS (-1.5, +105) vs. Nationals - Win - The Dodgers own the league's best record and have not lost at home all season. The Nationals are the league's worst team and must travel across the country to begin this road trip.
Monday, May 4
- Mavericks/NUGGETS (over 207.5) - Win - This game landed just under the total in Game 1, after only 40 points in the first quarter. When a series starts, teams typically start out tentatively. They try to develop a feel for one another, similar to boxers in the early rounds. Expect these team to resume their natural up-and-down flows.
Wednesday, April 29
- BULLS (-3) vs. Celtics - Loss - Chicago is facing elimination and will play with much more desperation. Boston is a much older team and the travel is starting to wear on a thin roster. The Bulls believe they can beat the defending champs.
Sunday, April 26
- LAKERS (-7, First Half) vs. Jazz - Win - Utah is left with virtually no chance to rally from a 3-1 series deficit. Kobe Bryant delivered the demoralizing punch in Game 4 and now the Jazz knows its walking into a buzzsaw. The Lakers saw the Cavaliers finish off the Pistons in decisive fashion and will look to do the same against Utah. The reserves will likely play the fourth quarter.
Saturday, April 25
- Cavaliers (-4.5, First Half) vs. PISTONS - Win - No NBA team has ever come back from a three-game deficit to win a playoff series. Detroit gave Cleveland its best shot and still lost Game 3. The Cavaliers realize ending this series is critical to their championship hopes and will look to deliver a knockout blow.
- Celtics/BULLS (over 100.5, First Half) - Loss - Boston has now figured out its game plan without Kevin Garnett. The Celtics want Rajon Rondo to push the pace and find Ray Allen and Paul Pierce. Chicago also wants a quicker game and the Bulls shooters should hit more jumpers than the embarassment in Game 3.
Friday, April 24
- Nuggets/HORNETS (under 198.5) - Win - So far every Game 3 has gone under the total. In all five series, the road team was unable to find an offensive rhythm on the road that it established at home in the series' first two games. Denver struggles away from home and New Orleans lacks the offensive firepower to surpass the 100-point mark.
Thursday, April 23
- ROCKETS (-5.5) vs. Blazers - Loss - The Rockets nearly won both games in Portland and now returns to Houston for some homecooking. NBA playoffs have shown us the road teams will not receive the borderline calls and that will inhibit the Blazers drastically. The Rockets play physical defense and will limit Portland's scoring opportunities.
- CAVALIERS/Pistons (under 178.5) - Win - Typically in a Game 3, the home team rises to the occasion but Detroit has not shown any fight. Cleveland's offense wil not gel as well on the road. Neither team should reach the 90-point mark.
Wednesday, April 22
- BULLS (-2.5) vs. Celtics - Loss - As nine-point underdogs, Chicago outplayed Boston in the first two games of this series. The Bulls now head home where they posted a 28-13 record during the regular season. Chicago is healthier and believes it can win this series.
- Celtics/BULLS (over 201.5) - Loss - Without Kevin Garnett, Boston's team defense is much weaker. In the first two games of the series, Chicago has demonstrated a desire to push the pace and avoid halfcourt situations. The Bulls have extreme athleticism and want to exploit that advantage.
Tuesday, April 21
- HAWKS (-4.5) vs. Heat - Loss - Miami has the best player in this series but his supporting cast cannot provide enough scoring punch. Atlanta is extremely athletic and can neutralize Wade's effectiveness. The Hawks proved last year against the NBA Champion Boston Celtics they have a potent home-court advantage by winning all three home games. They seem to be utilizing it this year.
- NUGGETS (-5.5) vs. Hornets- Win - New Orleans endures too many scoring droughts to contend in this game. Point Guard Chris Paul is a top-tier talent but the Hornets' big men are too banged up. Denver won Game One by 29 points behind Chauncey Billups' leadership and playoff experience.
Monday, April 20
- CAVALIERS (-11) vs. Pistons - Win - Detroit has reached five straight Eastern Conference Finals but the Pistons have clearly slipped. In Game 1, Detroit gave the Cavaliers its best shot but lost by 22 points. Since the Pistons have experienced past playoff success, they realize they are overmatched and will not take much solace in keeping this game close. Cleveland is finally healthy and plays like its on a mission.
- Rockets (+6) vs. BLAZERS - Win - In Game 1, Portland seemed unable to play with the necessary intensity for the playoffs. Houston's veterans completely dominated the contest. The Blazers have the ability to defend its home court properly, but Houston seems more determined and capable.
- Jazz/LAKERS (under 212) - Loss - Although the Lakers led virtually all of Game 1, the team was very disappointed with its defensive performance. That is the team's main focus in Game 2. Utah will likely play without Mehmet Okur, which is the team's leading scorer.
Friday, April 17
- BLAZERS (-145) vs. Rockets (Series) - Loss - Portland lacks playoff experience but Houston's core has only experienced playoff losses. The Blazers have arguably the most significant home-court advantage in the Western Conference. The Rockets won the season series but this young Portland team grew throughout the season. The Blazers have superior depth and can wear down Yao Ming. Shane Battier and Ron Artest will limit Brandon Roy, but Portland has great balance.
Tuesday, April 13
- Wizards/CELTICS (under 192.5) - Loss - In this regular season finale, Boston will rest its three superstars and struggle to score points. Washington sits in a tie with the Clippers for the league's second-worst record and will therefore hold back some of its weapons.
- 76ers/CAVALIERS (under 185) - Loss - With the NBA's best record locked up, the Cavaliers will sit Lebron James and Mo Williams. That will hurt their offense. Although Philadelphia needs a win to improve its playoff seeding, the Cavaliers are also one win away from tieing the league's all-time home court record at 40-1. Expect the reserves to fight hard for the victory, behind a stifling defense.
- Bobcats/MAGIC (under 184) - Win - Orlando is cruising towards the playoffs and sitting Rashard Lewis and Hedo Turkoglu. Dwight Howard will start but only play limited minutes.
- BLAZERS (-7) vs. Nuggets - Win - Since Houston lost tonight, Denver locked up the #2 seed. The Nuggets have no incentive to win this game. Portland needs to win to secure home-court advantage in the first round of the playoffs.
- SUNS (-9) vs. Warriors - Loss - Golden State only has a seven-man rotation. That could spell doom when it faces a team that runs like the Suns. Phoenix rested some of its stars on the road recently, but coach Alvin Gentry said they will play at home. Expect Phoenix to run the Warriors out of the building.
Monday, April 13
- RAYS (-120) vs. Yankees - Loss - With Alex Rodriguez injures, the Yankees have a mediocre lineup. Tampa Bay owned baseball's best home record last season and opponents just seem to struggle at that stadium. The Rays also own the pitching advantage, with Matt Garza facing A.J. Burnett.
Friday, April 10
- Suns/TIMBERWOLVES (under 228) - Win - Phoenix continues its agonizing road trip in Minnesota. The Suns have been eliminated from the playoffs and must gut out three more game. They plan to give more playing time to younger players, which means Steve Nash will log more minutes on the bench rather than pushing the pace. The Timberwolves are playing competitively but the injury bug has hit them hard. Leading scorer Randy Foye will likely miss his seventh straight game. The Timberwolves have gone under the total three consecutive games.
Thursday, April 9
- BLAZERS (+1) vs. Lakers - Win - Portland and its fans have been waiting for this game since their last meeting in early March. Trevor Ariza committed a flagrant foul on Rudy Fernandez and nearly knocked him out for the season. The Blazers took exception to it, which only added to their hatred for their Pacific Division rival. The Lakers have not won at the Rose Garden since 2005. Phil Jackson will not make the trip because of leg pain; Kurt Rambis will call the shots from the sideline. The Lakers played a late game Thursday night and must travel up north to face a rested Blazers squad.
- Suns/GRIZZLIES (under 227) - Win - Phoenix has been eliminateed from the playoffs. Since the Suns had championship aspirations, they merely want to finish the season and have no interest in these final games. Memphis lacks many scoring options. Look for both teams to play regular basketball without pushing the pace.
Wednesday, April 8
- Ryuji Imada (Even) vs. Jeev Milkha Singh - Win - Imada is making his first career Masters start. However, the University of Georgia product has played Augusta National numerous times and considers it his favorite course. Singh must play the first two rounds in the same group as Tiger Woods, exposing him to vast media attention and unpredictable pressure. Imada owns a more focused game and comfort level in this tournament.
- Trevor Immelman (under 39.5, -110) (Final Position) - Win - The South African surprised nearly everyone last year to win his first major at Augusta. His golf game admittedly struggled since gaining all the attention that comes with the championship. But he now seems more focused and should finish in the Top 40.
- Phil Mickelson (over 8.5, -110) (Final Position) - Loss - Lefty owns two green jackets but seems to have lost the hunger. Just when he seems poised to contend for another major, Mickelson also seems to blow up in at least one round. With the field's competitiveness and talent level increasing, his chances of finishing in the Top 8 fade.
- Nuggets/LAKERS (over 210.5) - Win - Since they can basically score at will and have captured the Western Conference's top seed, the Lakers do not seem to care too much about defense. The Nuggets can fill it up as well. Chauncey Billups has improved Denver's commitment to defense, but it still cannot stop the Lakers. Andrew Bynum's return may stall the Lakers' offense a bit but they still have plenty of options.
Tuesday, April 7
- MAVERICKS (-3) vs. Jazz - Win - Dallas trails Utah by one game in the race for the Western Conference's #7 seed. The #8 seed faces the Lakers, so plenty at stake as neither team wants that huge task. The Jazz is just 15-23 on the road this season and 16-22 against the spread.
Monday, April 6
- Connecticut (-16) vs. Louisville - Win - The Lady Huskies have dominated opponents this season, posting a 38-0 record. Connecticut already beat the Cardinals twice this season by margins of 28 and 39 points. Huskies head coach Geno Auriemma has never lost an NCAA championship game.
- Timberwolves/CLIPPERS (under 203) - Win - Both teams are missing numerous scorers: Randy Foye, Zach Randolph, Rodney Carney, and Chris Kaman. This is just too many points for two teams that are not stiffing the playoffs and just awaiting the offseason.
Sunday, April 5
- North Carolina/Michigan State (under 153.5) - Loss - In order to offset Connecticut's size, the Spartans pushed the pace in the Final Four game. However, Michigan State cannot run with the Tar Heels and will rely on its efficient halfcourt offense and limit North Carolina's transition game.
- Goran Suton (over 8 rebounds, -135) - Win - In five NCAA Tournament games, Sutan has surpassed that total four times. He will have more opportunities in this game. Norht Carolina prefers to push the ball and shoot often. As shown against Villanova in the national semifinal, the Tar Heels can struggle from the free throw line, giving Suton easy opportunities.
Friday, April 3
- Connecticut (-4) vs. Michigan State - Loss - The stars were aligned for the Spartans in the Midwest Regional Final. They caught an undisciplined Louisville team in a flat spot and capitalized on the Cardinals' low team IQ. Connecticut is much more polished and playing superior basketball. The Huskies will have an answer for Michigan State's limited offensive options and reinforce the Big East as basketball's best conference.
- Villanova/North Carolina (under 161) - Win - Both these teams can surpass the 80-point mark but these particular circumstances should prevent that. Villanova prefers a quicker pace but will follow a formula and limit UNC's possessions. Ford Field may have the largest attendance ever for a Final Four game, after placing the hardwood in the middle of the stadium. Shooters will take some time to adjust to a different environment, given the ambiance.
Thursday, April 2
- Hornets (-3) vs. Warriors - Loss - New Orleans has won three straight games and rejuvenated its playoff push. Stephen Jackson will miss the rest of the season with an injury and Golden State certainly suffers without him. The Hornets need this game.
Thursday, March 26
- Gonzaga (+8.5) vs. North Carolina - Loss - Sometimes the NCAA Tournament can teach us about the regular season. So far, having seen Duke and Wake Forest fall hard, it looks like the ACC is a bit overrated. While the Tar Heels virtually dominated it, they also struggled at times. Even in their last tournament game, they allowed LSU to make up a double-digit deficit and lead in the second half. The Bulldogs have the firepower to maintain pace with UNC.
- Kansas (+1.5) vs. Michigan State - Loss - The Big 12 has flexed its muscles this tournament, while the Big Ten has showed some weaknesses. The Spartans beat the Jayhawks earlier this year. However, throughout his career, Kansas coach Bill Self is 8-1 in NCAA Tournament games when he faces a team that beat his club earlier that season.
Wednesday, March 25
- Memphis (-4) vs. Missouri - Loss - Missouri tries to control the tempo by pushing the pace and pressuring the opponent. But that plays into the hands of Memphis. Memphis has better shooters and should be able to win convincingly.
Tuesday, March 24
- SAN DIEGO STATE (-3.5) vs. St. Mary's - Win - The Aztecs struggled for stretches this season but not when they were at full strength. Lorrenzo Wade missed seven games with a suspension and Billy White was injured. They are now playing their best ball and may catch the Gaels in a letdown spot.
Monday, March 23
- SPURS (-10.5) vs. Warriors - Loss - San Antonio has lost two straight games and will not waste an opportunity like this. The Warriors play poor defense. The Spurs will exploit it drastically with a methodical offense.
- Lakers/THUNDER (over 205.5) - Loss - As the Lakers showed Saturday night, they play poor defense on the road. Since Kevin Durant returned from injury, the Thunder is starting to resume its high-scoring ways.
Sunday, March 22
- ST. MARY'S (-4) vs. Davidson - Win - The Gaels have been on a mission, since being snubbed from the NCAA Tournament. Guard Pat Mills is healthy and demonstrating his abilities. Davidson has a lethal weapon in Stephen Curry but St. Mary's can devise the proper defensive scheme.
Saturday, March 21
- Louisville (-11.5) vs. Siena - Loss - The Cardinals are widely considered the tournament's most talented team and will look to bounce back from a poor first-round performance. As we saw
on Saturday with Memphisand Villanova, the premier teams typically rebound with more focus and effort. The Saints cannot match up with Louisville and are likely exhausted after winning in double overtime on Friday. Siena is content with one tournament win, while Louisvillewill not let these hacks jeopardize their quest for a national title.
Friday, March 20
- Villanova (-1, -120) vs. UCLA - Win - The Bruins certainly possess a great history and reputation. However, they have lost so much talent to the NBA recently and lack the scoring punch to hang with the Wildcats. This game takes place in Philadelphia and Villanova will have the crowd behind it. UCLA has a coaching and experience advantage but the Wildcats are just the better team.
Thursday, March 19
- Missouri (-12.5) vs. Cornell - Win - The Tigers present one of the tournament's most difficult matchups for Cornell. Missouri substitutes regularly and uses nonstop pressure to wear down opponents. Cornell has limited weapons and cannot match Mizzou's speed and athleticism. Critics cite the Tigers' 5-5 road record, but a Big 12 schedule poses more challenges than an Ivy League cupcake on a neutral court. Missouri missed the Big Dance last year, so look for the Tigers to seize the opportunity and deliver the knockout blow early.
Wednesday, March 18
- Memphis (-19.5) vs. Cal State Northridge - Loss - Memphis is as dangerous as any team in the field. The Tigers pressure the ball relentlessly and that could really hurt the Matadors. They do not take care of the basketball and lack the team IQ to keep this one close. Memphis has won 25 straight games for a reason.
- California (-1.5) vs. Maryland - Loss - The Bears have a distinct coaching advantage with Mike Montgomery over Gary Williams. Cal knows the key is to limit Greivis Vasquez, and it can devise the proper scheme. The Bears shoot the ball as well as any team.
- Purdue (-8) vs. Northern Iowa - Loss - Many critics have ripped the Big Ten, but Purdue is one of the nation's top-tier teams. The Boilermakers battled injuries throughout the season but are finally healthy. Look for Purdue to control UNI convincingly.
- Gonzaga (-12) vs. Akron - Win - The Bulldogs are flying below the radar and that bodes well, considering past tourney letdowns. They were embarassed earlier this season by Memphis, but the Tigers have proven they are championship material. Gonzaga showed apathy at times but that can happen when you run the table in a weak conference. They have much more talent than the Zips.
- Butler (+2.5) vs. LSU - Loss - The Tigers won the SEC regular season title but this was a very poor year for the conference. They showed vulnerability in the postseason tournament, and look for a hungry Butler team to expose that.
- Radford (+25.5) vs. North Carolina - Loss - The Tar Heels are a popular pick to win the national title. But as they proved in the ACC tournament, they just are not the same without point guard Ty Lawson. He is expected to miss the opener with a toe injury. Radford won the Big South championship with size and ability. Coach Brad Greenburg likely picked up pointers from brother Seth, who coaches Virginia Tech.
- WARRIORS/LAKERS (over 117, First Half) - Loss - The Lakers always bring out an opponent's best effort, especially the Warriors. Coach Don Nelson loves to see if his run-n-gun style can beat the top teams. Golden State will have more energy to start the game and may fade after halftime.
Tuesday, March 17
- THUNDER (-2) vs. Bulls - Loss - Chicago knocked off the Celtics Tuesday night and could be headed for a huge letdown. Oklahoma City has been playing much better lately, having just beaten the Spurs. The Thunder has won its last four home games.
Monday, March 16
- Washington State (+4.5) vs. ST. MARY'S - Loss - The Gaels are very insulted by not receiving an at-large bid for the NCAA Tournament. While the team may play with a chip on its shoulder, it is more likely they feel snubbed and are consumed with that issue. Point guard Patty Mills is a star but he does not look healthy since returning from a broken wrist. The Cougars have a unique offense and can frustrate an unfocused defense. The Cougars have a good shot to win this contest.
Saturday, March 14
- Mavericks/LAKERS (over 209.5) - Loss - When the Lakers play in the early time slot, they usually struggle at the start on defense. They are too accustomed to night games. And since they own the league's best record, they command maximum effort from opponents. Dallas prefers to push the pace and will try to jump on L.A. early.
Thursday, March 12
- BYU (-1) vs. SAN DIEGO STATE - Loss - The Aztecs are very athletic and pose a difficult match-up for the Cougars. However, in their last meeting, BYU switched to a zone defense and rallied from an 13-point halftime deficit to win easily. The Cougard are the conference's best offensive team.
Wednesday, March 11
- Kansas/Baylor (over 144) - Loss - Both teams prefer to push the ball and rarely let the shot clock reach single digits. In their previous meeting, they only combined for 140 points. However, that was due to an characteristically slow first half, which only saw 58 points. The Bears are much more seasoned and will put up a fight in this one. In tournament play, trailing teams are more inclined to foul in the game's final minutes.
Tuesday, March 10
- Providence (-8) vs. DePaul - Win - The Blue Demons got what they came for: a conference tournament win and it snapped their 0-18 Big East record. Providence is playing for a NCAA Tournament berth. This is also a bad match-up for DePaul. The Friars will push the pace and DePaul just cannot keep up with them.
- Grizzlies/TIMBERWOLVES (under 199.5) - Win - Minnesota will play without point guard Randy Foye, and that will signficantly hurt its offense. The Timberwolves have already lost star center Al Jefferson, so points will be a , premium. Memphis does not light up the scoreboard either.
Friday, March 6
- BUCKS (-5.5) vs. Warriors - Win - Golden State is on an express train for the lottery. Coach Don Nelson has chosen to sit at least one regular starter to give more playing time for youngsters, while also battling injuries to key figures. The Warriors will play the last of a four-game road trip, including this one on back-to-back nights. Milwaukee is playing much harder lately and fighting for a playoff spot.
- BLAZERS (-13) vs. Timberwolves - Loss - Minnesota has limited scoring options and must play road games on consecutive nights. Portland is coming off a loss and will be hungry.
- CORNELL (-14.5) vs. Princeton - Loss - The Tigers squandered their only chance at the Ivy League title by losing on Friday night. They must now travel to Ithaca, which is the longest road trip on the conference's signature weekend travel schedule. The Big Red clinched the league championship but will show up focused. Princeton handed Cornell its first conference loss and will seek revenge.
- BOISE STATE (E) vs. Nevada - Loss - UNR never plays well on the road and this a huge revenge game for the Broncos. Boise State can pull into a second-place tie in the WAC if it wins this game.
Thursday, March 5
- COLUMBIA (-2) vs. Princeton - Win - At 7-4 in conference, Princeton has a chance to win the Ivy League regular season title by winning its final three games. However, that record i, s inflated and the Tigers are in for a rude awakening. Princeton has lost its last two road games. Backed by its stingy defense, Columbia has won four straight at home. The Tiger face first-place Cornell Saturday night and are probably looking ahead to that big showdown.
Wednesday, March 4
,
- TEMPLE (-7.5) vs. St. Joseph's - Win - The Owls missed a golden opportunity to strengthen their NCAA Tournament chances but they also realize the road to redemption starts now. Temple holds a sizeable rebounding advantage and always plays solid defense at home.
- XAVIER (-10) vs. Dayton - Win - The Muskateers are the conference's best team and can clinch at least a share of Atlantic 10 title. They lost to Dayton in the previous meeting and will seek revenge.
- Stanford (+10.5) vs. ARIZONA STATE - Win - This is just, , a good spot for Stanford and bad one for Arizona State. The Sun Devils have already locked up a tournament berth and are a bit overrated. James Harden is a very good player but seems to be hitting his wall a bit. The Cardinal needs a win badly.
- VILLANOVA (-10) vs. Providence - Win - This is a very bad matchup for Providence. The Friars love to push the ball but that plays to , the strengths of the Wildcats. In recent games, Villanova has insisted on a slower pace but Providence will force a quicker one and that actually benefits Villanova.
- Illinois/PENN STATE (over 118) - Win - In their previous meeting, these two teams set basketball back a few decades by combining to score 71 points. However, Penn State is on the proverbial bubble and needs to a big win with a respectable amount of scoring. The NCAA Tournament Selection Committee prefers exciting teams.
Tuesday, March 3
- Miami (-4) vs. GEORGIA TECH - Loss - These are two teams headed in opposite directions. Miami has won three of its last six games, but two of those losses came by close margins against powerhouses Duke and North Carolina. Georgia Tech is just 1-13 in ACC play. The Hurricanes are a longshot to reach the NCAA Tournament and need this game.
- LSU (-9) vs. Vanderbilt - Loss - Payback is always a major motivation tool in college basketball. LSU has won 13 straight SEC games but Vanderbilt beat the Tigers last year on their home court. LSU is arguably college basketball's biggest surprise and should handle a Vanderbilt team that typically only plays well at home.
- Marquette/Pittsburgh (over 146.5) - Win - While the Panthers pride themselves on tough defense, they can score with any team in the country. Marquette enters this game short-handed and will need to push the ball to have any shot at winning the game.
Monda, y, March 2
- Pacers/KINGS (under 215.5) - Loss - Sacramento made several trades before the deadlin,, e and has yet to find chemistry. The Kings have scored over 100 points just once in the last five games. Indiana is playing without scorers Danny Granger and Mike Dunleavy. Neither team plays much defense but this total is pretty high.
- PISTONS (-3) vs. Nuggets - Win - Superstars Carmelo Anthony and Allen Iverson will miss this game. Denver will suffer more as Anthony leads the team in scoring. The Pistons have never quite figured out how to incorporate Iverson into their offense. They actually seem to flow better without him. Denver has only covered one of its last six games.
- Cincinnati (-2.5) vs. SOUTH FLORIDA - Loss - The Bearcats desperately need this game as, they try to improve their NCAA Tournament resume. The Bulls grabbed a lot of attention earlier this season when they upset Marquette at home. However, the Eagles could not have played worse, missing numerous free throws.
Sunday, March 1
- Mavericks (-6) vs. THUNDER - Loss - OKlahoma City is better than its record indicates, but stars Kevin Durant and Jeff Green will miss this game with injuries. Dallas overlooked the Thunder Friday night and needed a late rally for the two-point win. The Mavs should come in more focused. Jason Terry returned from injury Sunday and provides much-needed scoring off the bench.
- TEXAS (-8) vs. Baylor - Win - The Longhorns own one of the nat, ion's best defenses and can limit Baylor's quick pace. Baylor is just 1-6 on the road in Big 12 play and the players seem to lack basketball intelligence. Texas needs this game to improve its NCAA Tournament status.
- Spurs (-8) vs. CLIPPERS - Win - San Antonio has lost two straight games and will enter this game very focused. The Clips will play without Chris Kaman, Zach Randolph, and Eric Gordon. The Spurs will suffocate the Clips with solid defense and limited scoring options.
Friday, February 27
- VILLANOVA (-5.5) vs. Georgetown - Loss - The Wildcats played poorly in their last game against Depaul but that was because they were looking ahead to this showdown. At 5-10 in Big East, Georgetown is just not a strong team.
- Rockets (+1.5) vs. BULLS - Loss - Houston has won six straight games and found its identity since Tracy McGrady got injured. Center Yao Ming is the focal point. Chicago is playing on consecutive nights.
- CLIPPERS (+1.5) vs. Bobcats - Loss - The Clippers have been a disaster this season but that stems from injuries. Although they are still without Chris Kaman, the Clips are much healthier for this game against a weak Charlotte team.
Thursday, February 26
- PRINCETON (-6) vs. Brown - Win - The Bears have played only one good half in Ivy League play, and that came against Princeton. They caught the Tigers in a tough scheduling spot and blew them out after halftime. Princeton is much better than Brown and will gear up f, or revenge at home. Brown is 1-9 in conference for a reason.
- Lakers/NUGGETS (over 218) - Loss - After playing a fast-paced game last night against Phoenix, the Lakers will hit the altitude with tired legs. The Nuggets and the home crowd will be ready for this marquee matchup. Neither team , plays much defense and can shoot well. If either team catches fire, this will fly over the total.
Wednesday, February 25
- Purdue (-2) vs. MICHIGAN - Loss - Winning Big Ten road games is tough but Purdue is the class of the conference. The Boilermakers are much more efficient offensively since Robbie Hummel returned to the lineup. The Wolverines will try to make this a physical game but Purdue's talent should be enough for the win.
- WEBER STAT, E (-8) vs. Northern Arizona - Win - The Wildcats have won nine straight games and are peaking at the right time. They won the earlier meeting and should cruise at home. The Lumberjacks have only won one road game this season, and that came against lowly Sacra, mento State.
- CALIFORNIA (-4) vs. usc - Loss - This time of year, home teams typically prevailed. USC reportedly has experience some internal friction between teammates.
- LAKERS (-10) vs. Suns - Win - Phoenix enters shorthanded. Often the Lakers play down to their opponents but they are just talented to squanded an opportunity to handle a rival.
- Suns/LAKERS (under 232) - Loss - Steve Nash will miss this game with an injury. Phoenix just cannot maintain a fast pace without its star point guard. The Lakers will look to clamp down on defense and put away this game early. They have another big game tomorrow night at Denver.
- LAKERS (-10) vs. Sun, s - Win - Phoenix is not nearly the same team without Nash. Los Angeles is on a mission to capture the league's best record, . With a game the next night at Denver, the Lakers will look to bury Phoenix early.
Tuesday, February 24
- Virginia Tech/CLEMSON (over 142) - Win - In their earlier meeting, these two schools combined for 168 points. The Tigers love to pressure on defense and push on offense. The Hokies will have no choice but to join them in a track meet. Clemson has gone over the total in its last four games.
- NUGGETS (-9) vs. Hawks - Loss - Atlanta will play without starting point guard Mike Bibby and forward Josh Smith. Denver has lost three straight games and needs to get back on track to make a playoff push. The Hawks are wrapping up a long road trip and must , deal with teh altitude.
- Celtics/CLIPPERS (over 199) - Loss - Boston has been winning without Kevin Garnett but the defense has also surrendered more points. The Clippers are finally healthy and will look to push the ball.
Monday, February 23
- SUNS (-6) vs. Bobcats - Win - Phoenix has reverted back to the run-n-gun offense and should be able to blow past Charlotte. The Bobcats do not have a suffocating defense, which seems to be the only way to limit the Suns.
- Bobcats/SUNS (over 222) - Loss - On Sunday, Boston made Phoenix's offense look somewhat regular but that can happen against the league's best defense at an early start time. After switching coaches, the Suns have cranked up the pace and try to run opponents out of the gym. Phoenix has gone over the total all four games since Alvin Gentry replaced Terry Porter. Charlotte has enough scoring options to maintain pace.
- Byu (+1) vs. SAN DIEGO ST. - Win - The Aztecs suffered a major blow with the injury to Billy White. He is the team's third-leading scorer. BYU is coming off a loss and should pull out this game. San Diego State lacks toughness at times.
- Pittsburgh/PROVIDENCE (over 151) - Win - This has all the makings of a shootout. Providence pushes the pace and shoots much better at home. The Panthers have a physical style but have shown they can hang in high-scoring games.
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